According to recent studies carried on by the London School of Economics, Brexit has more likely an heavy impact on various fields: one of the most worrying scenary foresees food (in partucular every day products, such as chees, butter and yogurt, overall) becoming a luxury for Queen Elizabeth II’s subjects.
Leaving the EU customs union and the single market would seriously affect food industry, above all dairy industry; as a matter of fact, UK in this sector has the world’s second huge commercial deficit, in fact milk quota are up to 98%. Such a strong dependance has backlashes on border checks: Brexit almost probably leads to more stricter veterinary controls, red tape and delays. Not to mention the expected (and dramatic) rise of duties.
Therefore it is not unlikely to assume a shortage of whole products categories and a lower quality of the products, inversely related to a price rise, so that the most vulnerable groups of the society will then be utterly exposed to the problem.
Not just fears but opportunities
According to other studies, Brexit could be a great opportunity to enhance UK food farming, since to become self-sufficient new infrastructure will be inevitably required. Ash Amirahmadi, CEO of UK Arla Foods (UK biggest dairy industry, which has a 3 billion euro turnover over a year and 2,400 enrolled farmers) declared that also according to less catastrophics scenaries, to make the country unbounded and free from import will took several years.
PENNY & AMY
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